ORCHARD PARK, NY – JANUARY 09: Mitch Morse #60 of the Buffalo Bills waits to snap the ball to Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills against the New York Jets at Highmark Stadium on January 9, 2022 in Orchard Park, New York. (Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images)
A wild offseason with a ton of star movement in the NFL has led to some big swings in projected over/under win totals for the upcoming season.
This offseason has been one of the craziest in NFL history thanks to some huge free agent spending sprees and blockbuster trades that have seen the likes of Russell Wilson, Deshaun Watson, Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill change teams. All of this unprecedented player movement has led to some interesting over/under projections for win totals on all 32 NFL teams.
DraftKings Sportsbook has released an early list of over/unders to account for all of the player movement in the NFL to date. A compilation of that list, along with futures for division titles and Super Bowl odds, was assembled on Twitter by Sebastien Carl.
Takeaways from the NFL’s early over/under totals
It is worth mentioning that only 31 of the NFL’s 32 teams have a total available to bet right now. The Browns are not listed on the board due to uncertainty over a potential suspension for Watson, who is still facing 22 civil lawsuits for sexual assault and could miss time over violations of the league’s personal conduct policy.
The highest teams on the board are the Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, both of whom have totals set at 11.5 wins. Buffalo is well-positioned to do well in the AFC thanks to a step back from the Kansas City Chiefs and the absolute carnage the AFC West will do to top contenders while the Buccaneers benefit from getting Tom Brady back to rule over a division with three other teams in transition.
The AFC West is the NFL’s toughest division according to the totals, with three teams projected to win 10 games and the Las Vegas Raiders bringing up the rear with 8 projected wins. The lowest win totals belong to the Houston Texans, New York Jets, Atlanta Falcons, and Detroit Lions, all of whom have over/under totals under 6.