The NFL Christmas slate of Week 16 concludes tonight when the L.A. Chargers head to Indianapolis to face the Colts in search of some serious answers.
Indy has lost four straight games, and while their struggles aren’t particularly surprising given the entirety of the season, it’s how they’ve lost their last two matchups; with complete defensive meltdowns in the final quarter.
As for the Chargers, they’re finally starting to look more and more like the team with lofty preseason expectations, particularly on the defensive side of the ball.
Here’s a look at the latest betting odds for tonight’s matchup:
BetSided’s Iain MacMillan put together his best bet for Monday Night Football here, but in this article, we’ll focus on our favorite player props to consider before kickoff tonight from Lucas Oil Stadium.
Best Prop Bets for Chargers vs. Colts
- Deon Jackson OVER 7.5 Rushing Attempts (+100)
- Parris Campbell OVER 30.5 Receiving Yards (-130)
- Justin Herbert OVER 8.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Deon Jackson OVER 7.5 Rushing Attempts
The narrative going around the Colts right now is that Zack Moss will be the primary back, with Jackson filling in on passing downs as well as change-of-pace opportunities.
I’m not particularly sold on Zack Moss and his 3.7 YPC as a worthy primary-back, but given how bad the Chargers have been against the run, I think both backs can thrive in this evening’s matchup.
Jackson has shown much more burst than his teammate, and nearly doubled his rushing attempts number from a week ago. The market may disagree, as the under is heavily juiced, but given Nick Foles taking over for Matt Ryan and the Colts’ propensity to be run-heavy , Jackson may end up as the hot hand and we cash in at terrific odds.
Parris Campbell OVER 30.5 Receiving Yards
The aforementioned Foles, like his teammate Matt Ryan, is a statue in the pocket. With the Chargers’ pass rush awakening down the stretch of the season, Campbell provides the veteran signal-caller with a reliable dump-off option and screen target for big yards after the catch.
Despite failing to hit this number in two of his last three games, Campbell had previously cleared it in five of his last six matchups.
We’re also taking advantage of a number (currently available at PointsBet) that’s substantially lower than the rest of the market.
Justin Herbert OVER 8.5 Rushing Yards
Herbert failed to hit this number in last week’s win vs. the Tennessee Titans, but he’s an active runner going up against a Colts defense that’s fallen apart in multiple 4th quarters, and could easily take off if they find themselves down late.
Before last week, Herbert had taken off a minimum of four times in five consecutive weeks, clearing 8.5 rushing yards in three of them, with the other two finishing with 7 and 8 yards on the ground respectively.
Indianapolis ranks right in the middle of the pack in rushing yards and attempts allowed to quarterbacks this year. I think he can clear this number on one play if the middle of the field opens up.
Follow all of Ben’s betting plays in real-time HERE!
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.