We get a true division championship game in the AFC South this season with the 8-8 Jacksonville Jaguars hosting the 7-9 Tennessee Titans.
The winner will be the No. 4 seed in the AFC Playoffs, and the loser heads home. Unless of course, New England, Miami and Pittsburgh all lose, then Jacksonville can sneak in even with a loss.
I’m not sure Doug Pederson and Trevor Lawrence want to leave it up to those other teams though, I think they’d rather win and complete the turnaround from the worst team in the NFL, to the playoffs in just one year.
Here are the odds for the AFC South Championship game down in Jacksonville on Saturday night.
Titans vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread and Total
Jacksonville and Tennessee Betting Trends
- Jacksonville is 8-7-1 ATS
- Tennessee is 8-6-2 ATS
- The Under is 11-5 in Tennessee’s games
- Tennessee is 0-4-2 ATS in its last six games
- Jacksonville is 4-0 ATS in its last four games
- Tennessee is 8-3 ATS in last 11 meetings
Titans vs. Jaguars Prediction and Pick
These are two teams headed in complete opposite directions. Jacksonville is on a serious roll, it has won four straight including a 36-22 win over Tennessee in Week 14.
That was when Tennessee still had Ryan Tannehill, now they’re down to Joshua Dobbs because Malik Willis can’t throw a football at all, but the bigger problem for Tennessee is stopping the quarterbacks that actually can.
Trevor Lawrence absolutely can, he’s been spinning it this year, he’ll end the year with over 4,000 yards passing and has 24 touchdowns to eight interceptions heading into this game. Last time he saw Tennessee, he completed 30 of his 42 passes for 368 yards and three touchdowns.
Tennessee has lost six games in a row.
Mike Vrabel is a great coach and he’s scary as an underdog in games like this, but there is no coaching move to be made in Week 18 to get a better secondary.
They give up a league worst, 279.3 passing yards per game and have allowed the second most passing touchdowns in football. This unit even made Davis Mills look good two weeks ago when they lost to Houston and Mills marched down the field for the game-winning touchdown.
Six points is a big number and the public is all heavily on Jacksonville, but I still think it’s the right bet. Derrick Henry isn’t as scary to opposing defenses as he used to be and Jacksonville has an above average run defense.
Trevor Lawrence is now the most terrifying player to game plan for in the AFC South and his reign will be a lot longer than King Henry’s was.
Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change