The best time to find value when betting on Super Bowl winners is early in the NFL offseason.
The roster that most teams have now will look drastically different in the coming months due to coaching hires, free agency, trades, and the NFL Draft.
If you want to get ahead of the hype and grab some value NOW (why wait?), don’t go anywhere. We’ve picked out three longshots that would return you serious cash if they win Super Bowl LVIII next season.
But before we break down our best sleepers of the ‘23 season, you’ll want to know about this limited-time promotion from BetMGM Sportsbook that you can utilize for your Super Bowl pick.
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Three Super Bowl LVIII Longshots
Picking out dark horse teams is a tricky proposition in any sport. Some teams, like the Arizona Cardinals and Houston Texans, have INSANE odds at +20000 (200-to-1).
But do they have any shot at actually winning it all? Probably not.
It may be cowardly, but for my longshots, I’m not picking any team in the AFC. Beating one elite team is hard enough to do. But getting through a conference with the Chiefs, Bills and Bengals sounds almost impossible for a team with long odds.
Here’s my three longshots from the NFC:
Los Angeles Rams (+3500)
A 2-1 start unraveled FAST this past season as the Rams slid to a 5-12 finish well out of the playoff picture.
The window on this team might have slammed shut last season, but there is reason to believe there’s a chance. Head coach Sean McVay was rumored to have flirted with the idea of retirement, but he’s coming back this fall, and that leads me to believe that McVay has hope for at least one more winning season.
Injuries were a HUGE reason that the Rams’ season was derailed last year. Consider that all of these players were hurt at some point: QB Matt Stafford, WRs Cooper Kupp and Van Jefferson, eight offensive linemen, and three safeties including starter Taylor Rapp and backup Jordan Fuller.
The Rams expect to return all of their stars on defense – Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsay, Bobby Wagner, and Leonard Floyd – and a healthy season from Stafford and Kupp would be a game-changer for the offense.
With so many championship-winning stars back together under McVay, 35-to-1 is hard to pass up.
Washington Commanders (+7000)
Winning and Washington haven’t exactly gone hand-in-hand over the past decade. The Commanders have struggled to find a quarterback since Robert Griffin III got injured and Kurt Cousins left the team in free agency..
If the team can acquire a starting-level QB this offseason, watch out.
Washington has one of the better offensive skill groups in the NFL with WRs Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel, and Jahan Dotson, RBs Brian Robinson Jr. and Antonio Gibson, and TE Logan Thomas.
The Commanders managed an 8-8-1 record with Carson Wentz, Taylor Heinicke, and Sam Howell last season. If they can find a competent starter, it’s not a stretch to see this team making the playoffs (especially in the top-heavy NFC).
That’s all without mentioning one of the better defensive lines in the NFL. Washington was 12th in the NFL in sacks last year, but only five sacks away from being in the top five.
When you look at the teams that just played in the Super Bowl, the Eagles led the league in sacks and the Chiefs were second.
If Washington retains defensive tackle and game-wrecker Daron Payne (Franchise tag that man!), they have all of the qualities of a Super Bowl dark horse.
Seattle Seahawks (+7000)
You’re not really going to count out Pete Carroll are you? Everyone counted the Seahawks out last season when they opted to go with Geno Smith instead of Russell Wilson. Who’s laughing now?
The Seahawks finished 9-8 and made the playoffs as the NFC’s final seed. But they might have been even better than their record indicates.
Seattle lost by more than two scores ONCE all season and six of their eight losses came by eight points or less.
Seattle still has some important offseason decisions to make – namely what to do with Smith – but it’s not difficult to see this team taking another step forward next season, especially with a full year from running back Kenneth Walker III and the continued growth of cornerback Tariq Woolen.
Aside from the big dogs of the NFC (Eagles and 49ers) it’s almost anyone’s game. Why not bet on a coach who has been there and done that with a roster that JUST made the playoffs?
At 70-to-1 you really can’t go wrong.
Regardless of who you bet on to win Super Bowl LVIII, don’t forget to do it risk-free. Sign up with BetMGM before their promotion expires.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.